Hello friends, in today’s article we see chapter 1, clues from the past of common stock and uncommon profits book. In this book, Philip A. Fisher explains how we can learn from history, and how people are makes money in history, in chapter 1, clues from the past of common stocks and uncommon profits book.
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Common stocks and uncommon profits Chapter 1: Clues from the past
Philip A. Fisher says by seeing the past of the stock market, they get
People come stock market for only one reason is that they want to make money in the market. So in past, they use two methods to make money in the market.
- By predicting the business cycle, and betting on that prediction, they buy the stock at the bad time and sell the stock at the good time. So they collect the information from their connection and know when the bad time comes and when to buy that bad stocks. Those people have more connections that prediction is going more accurately and they make the money.
- Finding outstanding companies and holding them in the good and bad times of the business economy. So this method helps to get a low risk and maximum profits. (Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits: Chapter 1)
So comparing both methods, you get a good result for the second way than the first one.
And this second method is more profitable for more people, But you have to identify the outstanding company.
So outstanding companies’ opportunities are also available in past and they are also available in present, and they are maximum in number as compared to the present. Because in past there is only a family business present, and they were only run by a family member, whatever the person is they deserve it or not the company, they run the company.
But in no time, if any family business they are not capable to run the business, they hire the most eligible management. (Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits: Chapter 1)
Another thing is that now businesses are spending more money on research or R&D department. This start form Hitler’s time, in Hitler’s army, there are so many researchers going on weapons, so that’s why they become very famous, so every country knew about the power of R&D. So there from each and every country start developing research and spend money on R& D. (Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits: Chapter 1)
So people make the R&D of commercial products also. Now the company’s revenue of about 20% has come from those products that are actually not even present or developed.
So doing research is good, if you don’t do the R&D, is more expensive than doing R&D.
A bond is a very bad investment in the long term because the simple one is infection.
This inflation is more than the bond interest. Your money is going negative when you choose the bond as a long-term investment.
So the bond is only profitable when you have to know how to time the interest rate of inflation in short term.
So get the coupons on the bonds they are very less in value as you give them and buy bonds.
The author says in past we have to learn five things, (Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits: Chapter 1)
- those people make the maximum return by identifying the outstanding company, those companies whose sales and profits grow fast than the there industry.
- When you have found such a company and hold it for a long period of time, get the maximum results.
- this is not necessary for this type of company is small-cap, but company management is intelligent enough to handle the problem of the company, identify the new opportunity for the company to grow, and make the company profitable.
- Growth comes from research that, that product is developed from the existing product. ( Growth is associated with knowing how to manage research to bring to market economically worthwhile and usually interrelated product lines.
- Opportunities that were present before 25-50 years are now present also and more.
So this knows us from the historical stock market, and money-making strategy.
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