How to find growth stocks

Hello friends, in today’s article we see how to find growth stocks from chapter 10 how I go about finding growth stock of book common stocks and uncommon profits. In chapter 10 Philip A. Fisher explains, how they find the growth stocks. so let’s see step by step

Previous Chapter 9

How to find growth stocks
The step-by-step process for find a growth stock:

Philip A. Fisher says finding growth stocks and doing these things take a great deal of Time, Skill, and Alertness.

Philip A. Fisher says, ” This is what it is, there is no easy way to find growth stocks.”

So there are thousands, of stocks in dozens of industries that could qualify as worthy of more intensive study.

How do decide which stocks to investigate further? given these question answers, Philip A. Fisher gives the following points:

a) you can decide stock to investigate further by talking to business executives and scientists. Philip A. Fisher says, ” 20% of ideas and 16% of purchases come from this source of people.

b) You can also decide stock investigate further by talking to able investment men across the country with impressive records. Philip A. Fisher says, ” 80% ideas and 84% purchases come from this source of peoples.

 

The Authors( Philip A. Fisher) looks for some key matters while talking to these people in order to decide whether to investigate further or not.

for example any company

  • Is this company being steered towards the line of business having opportunities for unusual growth in sales?
  • would it be easy for newcomers to enter these business lines and displace leading units?

If sales growth easily growing and new companies easily not enter this business line.

Then the author ( Philip A. Fisher) investigate further this company. If this company is not true on the above question then the author rejects that company. (How to find growth stocks)

When Mohnish Pabrai meets charlie Munger then charlie says, to successful investing you have to see what able investor doing and what to buy and then you can investigate further of that stocks. the same author also does before this great investor.

from this your work is simple and then you can not have to investigate 1000 of the company for one idea and this is not easy to investigate 1000 of the company. so use this method.

The Author decides by talking about these two types of people, which the company has to investigate. after this  author gives

What to Do Next:-How to find growth stocks

After deciding which companies to investigate further, the next step is following:

A) What The author doesn’t do this:

  1. The author doesn’t approach management at this stage.
  2. He doesn’t go over part annual reports for hours and hours and making minute studies of minor year-by-year changes in the balance sheet of the compnay.
  3. The author doesn’t ask every broker about the broker’s opinion on the stock of the company.

So what to do author give below:

B) What The author does do this:

  1. The author does a Glance over the balance sheet to determine the general nature of capitalization structure and financial position.
  2. And they also Read SEC prospects for the breakdown of sales by product lines, competition degree of promoter ownership, profits margins, the extent of research activity, the abnormal or non-recurring cost in prior year operations. (How to find growth stocks)

Then the author uses the scuttlebutt method as best as he can use this method.

In this, The author meets every key customer and supplier, competitors, ex-employee, and scientists to find answers to the 15 points.

the author meets him with common friends and if they can’t meet them, then they reject the company.

If you want to meet these key people so don’t meet general call or direct meeting, for this purpose you have to call them officially and assure them their name never come anywhere, then you get 15 points solutions.

Some people think, how management meet me, so for author says,” Management doesn’t see how much you can invest in a company, they only see the how much confidence you have about this stocks.”

after meetings key peoples then the author gives what to do next as following:

What Next:

Then author approaches the management to fill the gaps in 15 points they get information from the key peoples.

The author says, ” Scuttlebutt method helps to you know the strengths and weakness of a company, so you can ask to meet specific officers of the company.”

For example, if Scuttlebutt’s method tells you there is some trouble in the marketing division, you can ask to meet people from the marketing division to find out whether they are doing something to improve the situation or not.

the author gives advice to us, say ” never meet the management of any company until you have first gathered together at least 50% of all the knowledge you need to make the investment.

The amount of time management will give you depends on the company is an estimate of your competence than the size of your financial interest. (How to find growth stocks)

It is wise to be introduced to management by the right people.

  1. The companies considered as idea bought from 250 ideas, then choose one
  2. Those companies investigated actually bought from 40 to 50 ideas, then choose one.
  3. the companies visited  to meet management actually bought from 2 to 2.5 idea, then choose one

This is because the Scuttlebutt method gives a completely accurate picture of a company on 15 points. If the author decides to meet the mangement. so there is a high chance is to buy that stocks.

 

from the above deep process, the author choose the company or find the growth stocks

In the shot above process, I make the summary process format of finding growth stocks

Summary of Process:-

  1. 20% of ideas come from friends who are business executives and scientists, and 80% of ideas come from a small number of able investment men.
  2. Brief scrutiny of few point in SEC prospectus, scuttlebutt method aggressively for 15 points.
  3. Contact the management only in occasional cases when 15 points are qualified by the company reasonably.
  4. If hopes confirmed as fear cases after meetings with the management, then buy that stocks. (How to find growth stocks)

Now people ask others and say’,” How can someone be expected to spend so much time finding just one investment.”

So answering these questions the author give, ” In what other line of activity, you put $ 10,000 in one year and then years later it becomes $ 40,000 to $ 150,000.”

So reading this you get the mindset of following Philip A. Fisher’s method of finding growth stocks.

So this is all about chapter 10 of the common stocks and uncommon profits book.

Common Stocks & Uncommon Profits: Chapter 4

Hello friends, In today’s article we see what to buy: applying this to your own need, from chapter 4 of Common stocks and Uncommon Profits book. Chapter 4 helps you to find which stocks we have to buy and what is the reason for that from the Common stocks and Uncommon Profits book.

Previous Chapter

Common Sense & Uncommon Profits: Chapter 4

What to buy: Applying this to your own needs:-Common Stocks & Uncommon Profits: Chapter 4

After studying the 15th point, we have some, like, This work is done by myself, or finds some expert.

There are three stocks, Large-cap, Small Cap, Mid Cap category stocks. So between that which stocks we have to choose.

Which stocks do we have to buy, those that pay the dividend and without paying the dividend stock? this all depends on your need.

People have misconceptions about successful investors. They are thinking, Investors are bookish person, that only read a balance sheet and analyze the financial statements. (Common Stocks & Uncommon Profits: Chapter 4)

If you think like that and work like that, then you get the stock at a bargain price. But after some time these stocks become the value trap.

So, friends, this is the book for making money while taking low risks.

This is only happening by buying growth stocks, and growth stocks are giving each and every decade a 100% return on investment.

So the author only talks about these growth stocks that give 100% return by staying 5 to 10 years. with it.

The authors say, Investor only gives some time to his investment, suppose you have the ability, and time also. (Common Stocks & Uncommon Profits: Chapter 4)

But maybe don’t have time to meet the customer and supplier. If you have time to talk but don’t know to talk to the customers and suppliers and do not know which type of question you have to ask.

If you have all the above things, but don’t have to develop an interest in people to talk with you, that tell you all information about the company.

If you have all this ability, then you may not have judgment power to get the meaning thought on that information or if this also has the ability. (Common Stocks & Uncommon Profits: Chapter 4)

if maybe happen, your geography is not good, for example, you stay in the village and this person is in the city so you can’t meet them.

If you face any of the problems above discussion, then take advice from experts. So don’t try to be your own doctor and lawyer.

So this principle also helps you to find good experts.

If you choose any experts, then you have to see their 5 years records,

If they have a good record then only then give them money. If not then don’t give money.

See advisor is honest and others ask him investment philosophy that studies in this book. then that better adviser then you know how they got the five years return. (Common Stocks & Uncommon Profits: Chapter 4)

by timing the market or investing in the marginal company or following this 15th principle, that is why you have to see his five-year result return.

Three types of the company by following 15 points you get the outstanding company in that.

  1. Large-caps: Those companies have good profits and better financial positions or also called institution stocks because insurance companies invest in them. For example Dow Chemical, Du Pont, and IBM from 1946 to 1956, three companies’ stocks are going 5X in 10 years and dividend returns go from 2.5X to 8 and 9 % in the original period and this is not an unusual period this is a normal period.
  2. Small and young companies: they have outstanding management and research scientist are capable for example, Amplex stock in 4 years is going 8X.
  3. Between large and small-cap companies ( mid-caps): Small companies give you 1000X gain in 10 years. if you are wrong then one dollar penny does not remain, so the skilled investor can be done a mistake.

Large companies losses are usually temporary, if you buy the right time stocks (Common Stocks & Uncommon Profits: Chapter 4)

So what is a good time we see in the next chapter?

How much money invested in large-cap companies stocks gives more profit but not that much, those give small companies.

How much money to invest in large-cap companies’ stocks or how much in a small company all depends on you.

Profits from big companies are minimum the total loss outway, that happens in a small company.

if a small company is successful then they become a large company.

* High-dividend yield vs Low-dividend yield growth stocks:

Small investors can not live on dividends, whatever amount of a dividend of high, because their overall investment is small.

A small investor has to be sufficient emergency money for their circumstances. If after that some money is behind then only invest for the long term.

If investors’ circumstances are like they don’t need dividends, then the author says, they have to invest in the company and have to compound their money. (Common Stocks & Uncommon Profits: Chapter 4)

The author’s personal point of view says Small dividend income is not important as after a few increases in maximum income and the author’s sons have a chance to become wealthy in these stocks.

Every stock depends on two things

  1. How skillfully do you apply this 15th principle
  2. Matter of good luck

Good luck is best for one stock, if you have maximum stocks, then luck is an average one. luck only matters when you have only one stock or a few.

the author says previous 35 years that many studies on high dividend stock and low dividend growth stocks. Each stock outperforms in a 5 to 10 years period.

Surprisingly these stocks have increased their dividends such that they were paying greater dividend return on original investment ( though dividend yield is still the low company compared to increased stocks price) than high dividend yield stocks.

So this is all about chapter 4 of common stocks and uncommon profits.

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